Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
