Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 36%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Portimonense |
36% | 28.16% | 35.84% |
Both teams to score 47.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.16% | 58.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.66% | 79.34% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.84% | 31.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.51% | 67.49% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.74% | 31.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.39% | 67.61% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 11.35% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.62% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.02% Total : 36% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.74% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.15% | 0-1 @ 11.32% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 6.58% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
3 | BoavistaBoavista | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
5 | Braga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
6 | Sporting Lisbon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
7 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | ChavesChaves | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Vizela | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
12 | Casa Pia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
13 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
17 | Maritimo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
18 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
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