Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Vitoria de Setubal win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Setubal | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
29.31% | 27.5% | 43.19% |
Both teams to score 47.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.27% | 57.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.52% | 78.47% |
Vitoria de Setubal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.75% | 35.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.99% | 72.01% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.51% | 26.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.32% | 61.68% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Setubal | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.09% Total : 29.31% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.34% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 12.4% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 10 | 28 | 40 |
2 | Braga | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 12 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Porto | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 33 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 28 |
5 | Casa Pia | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 24 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 22 |
8 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 20 |
9 | ChavesChaves | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 20 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 20 |
11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 19 |
12 | Vizela | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 17 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
15 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
16 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Maritimo | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 10 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 3 |
> Full Version |