Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 42.5% | 28.69% | 28.81% |
| Both teams to score 44.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.03% | 61.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.29% | 81.71% |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% | 28.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.26% | 64.74% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.05% | 37.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.28% | 74.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 1-0 @ 13.61% 2-0 @ 8.46% 2-1 @ 8.19% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.56% Total : 42.5% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.67% | 0-1 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.66% Total : 28.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 64 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Brentford | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 43 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 42 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 41 |
| 10 | Fulham | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 28 |
| 14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 27 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 27 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 26 |
| 17 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
| 18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 25 |
| 19 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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