Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.