Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Lille had a probability of 18.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Lille |
| 59.71% | 22% | 18.29% |
| Both teams to score 51.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.05% | 45.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% | 68.26% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.01% | 14.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.56% | 43.44% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.1% | 38.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.37% | 75.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% 2-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 6.27% 4-0 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-0 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.49% Total : 59.7% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 0-0 @ 5.83% 2-2 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.99% | 0-1 @ 5.51% 1-2 @ 4.93% 0-2 @ 2.6% 1-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.22% Total : 18.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 63 |
| 2 | Marseille | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 55 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 51 |
| 4 | Lens | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 51 |
| 5 | Rennes | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 46 |
| 6 | Lille | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Nice | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 42 |
| 8 | Lyon | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 40 |
| 9 | Reims | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 40 |
| 10 | Lorient | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 40 |
| 11 | Clermont | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 34 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Brest | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 23 |
| 16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
| 18 | Ajaccio | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
| 19 | Troyes | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 20 |
| 20 | Angers | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 10 |
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