Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
