Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
