Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 14.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.