Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.