MX23RW : Saturday, April 1 22:36:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK at Ochilview Park
Stenhousemuir
1 - 1
Dumbarton
Yates (90+5')
Corbett (8'), Brown (40'), Crighton (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Love (45+2')
Wallace (73')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stenhousemuir and Dumbarton.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-0 Elgin
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawDumbarton
41.61% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 24.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 34.29% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 60.6% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.21% (0.107 0.11)41.79% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (0.108 0.11)64.19% (-0.108 -0.11)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.71% (0.016999999999996 0.02)20.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.36% (0.026000000000003 0.03)52.64% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (0.096999999999994 0.1)23.97% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79% (0.14 0.14)58.21% (-0.141 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 41.61%
    Dumbarton 34.29%
    Draw 24.09%
StenhousemuirDrawDumbarton
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 41.61%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.77% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.29%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Stenhousemuir
1-3
Dumbarton
O'Reilly (72')
Yates (4'), Orr (60')
Orr (33' og.), McNiff (54'), Gray (90+1')
McKee (74'), Wallace (81'), Carswell (84')
Jul 13, 2021 7.45pm
Dumbarton
1-2
Stenhousemuir
MacLean (40')
Carswell (81')
Lyon (63'), Thomson (79')
Anderson (39')
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Dumbarton
1-2
Stenhousemuir
Barr (85')
Marsh (27'), McBrearty (72')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Stenhousemuir
2-2
Dumbarton
Paton (8'), McGuigan (54')
Reid (28'), McBrearty (56')
McBrearty (90')
Forbes (45', 90')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Dumbarton
2-1
Stenhousemuir
Forbes (23' pen.), Thomas (56')
Allardice (62'), Spencer (81')
McGuigan (33' pen.)
Ferry (22'), Reid (25'), Duthie (63'), Neill (81')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Result
Alcaraz
Sinner
77 4 2
64 6 6
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Stirling AlbionStirling29178458312759
2Dumbarton30166844341054
3Annan AthleticAnnan31128115245744
4Forfar AthleticForfar31128113538-344
5East FifeEast Fife31127124245-343
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir30119104747042
7StranraerStranraer31107143747-1037
8Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose3197153245-1334
9Elgin CityElgin2996143951-1233
10Albion RoversAlbion Rovers3186173841-330

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!