Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.