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Nashville
Major League Soccer
May 31, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Geodis Park
New York City

Nashville
2 - 2
NY City

Surridge (27', 41')
Acosta (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wolf (54', 87')
O'Neill (40'), Tanasijevic (74'), Parks (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 0-3 Houston
Thursday, May 29 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

We said: Nashville SC 2-0 New York City FC

Conceding three times to an average offensive unit in Houston is hardly a confidence boost, and we expect the Pigeons to struggle against a Nashville side much stronger defensively at home, having conceded a goal or fewer in seven of their last eight home games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 23.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SCDrawNew York City FC
53.38% (-3.997 -4) 23.4% (0.972 0.97) 23.21% (3.027 3.03)
Both teams to score 54.94% (1.098 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (-0.604 -0.6)45.65% (0.605 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (-0.57599999999999 -0.58)67.98% (0.57899999999999 0.58)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.95% (-1.599 -1.6)17.05% (1.602 1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.79% (-2.908 -2.91)47.21% (2.911 2.91)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.23% (2.552 2.55)33.77% (-2.549 -2.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.56% (2.673 2.67)70.43% (-2.67 -2.67)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 53.38%
    New York City FC 23.21%
    Draw 23.4%
Nashville SCDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.776 -0.78)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.402 -0.4)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.78 -0.78)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.33 -0.33)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.495 -0.5)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.074 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.38%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.44 0.44)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.29 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.4%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.568 0.57)
1-2 @ 6% (0.627 0.63)
0-2 @ 3.39% (0.515 0.52)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.358 0.36)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.227 0.23)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.256 0.26)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 23.21%

How you voted: Nashville vs NY City

Nashville SC
87.5%
Draw
8.3%
New York City FC
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 9.25pm
NY City
3-1
Nashville
Rodriguez (1', 19'), Martinez (21')
Williams (58')
Zimmerman (45+2'), Yazbek (60')
Jun 23, 2024 1.30am
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
Feb 25, 2023 9.30pm
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 37
NY City
0-0
Nashville
Moralez (70'), Gray (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1374222111125
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle135532115620
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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