Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 35.9%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (12.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
