Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 50.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-0 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
