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Nov 6, 2022 at 5pm UK at Stadio Olimpico
Roma
vs.
Lazio
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 3-1 Ludogorets
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Lazio
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We say: Roma 2-1 Lazio

The Derby della Capitale has seen more red cards than any other fixture in Serie A since the turn of the century, yet there has been just one dismissal in the six most recent meetings between Lazio and Roma. With so much at stake, a more ill-tempered encounter could break out, which might suit the Giallorossi more as Mourinho's pragmatism trumps 'Sarrisimo' again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roma win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw has a probability of 24% and a win for Lazio has a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Lazio win it is 0-1 (6.72%).

Result
RomaDrawLazio
53.21% (1.839 1.84) 24.03% (-0.685 -0.68) 22.76% (-1.156 -1.16)
Both teams to score 52.35% (0.776 0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19% (1.683 1.68)48.8% (-1.688 -1.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09% (1.509 1.51)70.9% (-1.513 -1.51)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (1.365 1.37)18.28% (-1.369 -1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (2.272 2.27)49.34% (-2.276 -2.28)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.06% (-0.126 -0.13)35.93% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.29% (-0.129 -0.13)72.71% (0.125 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Roma 53.2%
    Lazio 22.76%
    Draw 24.03%
RomaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.141 0.14)
2-0 @ 9.48% (0.17 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.311 0.31)
3-0 @ 5.37% (0.32 0.32)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.15 0.15)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.225 0.23)
4-0 @ 2.28% (0.227 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 53.2%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.468 -0.47)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 6.72% (-0.503 -0.5)
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.269 -0.27)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 22.76%

Who will win Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Lazio?

Roma
Draw
Lazio
Roma
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Lazio
0.0%
0

Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 5pm
Roma
3-0
Lazio
Abraham (1', 22'), Pellegrini (40')
Karsdorp (48'), Mancini (53'), Zalewski (73'), Oliveira (78')

Pedro (43'), Patric (44'), Leiva (61')
Sep 26, 2021 5pm
Lazio
3-2
Roma
Milinkovic-Savic (10'), Pedro (19'), Anderson (63')
Leiva (25'), Cataldi (87')
Ibanez (41'), Veretout (69' pen.)
Patricio (11'), Cristante (45+2'), Vina (48'), Mourinho (61'), Veretout (87')
May 15, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
2-0
Lazio
Mkhitaryan (42'), Pedro (78')
Peres (16'), Santon (47')

Acerbi (23')
Acerbi (87')
Jan 15, 2021 7.45pm
Lazio
3-0
Roma
Immobile (14'), Alberto (23', 67')
Milinkovic-Savic (11'), Radu (20'), Acerbi (45+3'), Felipe (62'), Leiva (63')

Mancini (34'), Smalling (60'), Pedro (71'), Mkhitaryan (90')
Jan 26, 2020 5pm
rhs 2.0
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1pm
Rune
Auger-Aliassime
3.30pm
Djokovic
Tsitsipas
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1210203092132
2Atalanta BCAtalanta128311881027
3AC Milan1282225131226
4Roma128131611525
5Lazio127322481624
6Inter Milan128042517824
7Udinese136522113823
8Juventus126421871122
9Torino125251214-217
10Salernitana124441617-116
11SassuoloSassuolo124351417-315
12Bologna123451418-413
13Fiorentina123451317-413
14Empoli12255917-811
15Monza123181121-1010
16Lecce131661016-69
17SpeziaSpezia122371022-129
18Sampdoria12138621-156
19Hellas VeronaHellas Verona121291124-135
20Cremonese12057922-135

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