Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Cambridge United | 
| 43.67% | 26.89% | 29.43% | 
| Both teams to score 49.43% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 44.58% | 55.42% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 23.38% | 76.61% | 
| Port Vale Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.81% | 25.19% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.08% | 59.92% | 
| Cambridge United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.07% | 33.93% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.4% | 70.6% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Port Vale | Draw | Cambridge United | 
| 1-0 @ 11.78% 2-1 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.67% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.55% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 9.24% 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.43% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 77 | 
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 39 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 70 | 
| 3 | Stevenage | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 68 | 
| 4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 39 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 66 | 
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 64 | 
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 64 | 
| 7 | Salford City | 39 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 63 | 
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 61 | 
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 39 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 58 | 
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 57 | 
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 51 | 
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 39 | 15 | 6 | 18 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 51 | 
| 13 | Walsall | 39 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 50 | 
| 14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 50 | 
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 48 | 
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 46 | 
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 45 | 
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 44 | 
| 19 | Gillingham | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 44 | 
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 39 | 
| 21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 39 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 38 | 
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 39 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 37 | 
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 39 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 35 | 
| 24 | Rochdale | 39 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 29 | 
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