Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 45.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Carlisle United | 
| 45.9% | 27.7% | 26.4% | 
| Both teams to score 45.31% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.23% | 59.77% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 19.94% | 80.06% | 
| Leyton Orient Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.95% | 26.04% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.91% | 61.09% | 
| Carlisle United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 61.26% | 38.74% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.52% | 75.47% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Carlisle United | 
| 1-0 @ 13.57% 2-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 8.66% 3-0 @ 4.09% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.03% Total : 45.89% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 9.57% 1-2 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.53% Total : 26.4% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 77 | 
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 39 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 70 | 
| 3 | Stevenage | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 68 | 
| 4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 39 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 66 | 
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 64 | 
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 64 | 
| 7 | Salford City | 39 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 63 | 
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 61 | 
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 39 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 58 | 
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 57 | 
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 51 | 
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 39 | 15 | 6 | 18 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 51 | 
| 13 | Walsall | 39 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 50 | 
| 14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 50 | 
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 48 | 
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 46 | 
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 45 | 
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 44 | 
| 19 | Gillingham | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 44 | 
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 39 | 
| 21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 39 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 38 | 
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 39 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 37 | 
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 39 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 35 | 
| 24 | Rochdale | 39 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 29 | 
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