Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match.
