Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 47.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.
