Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
