Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
