Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.89%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
