

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 69.96%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 12.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 69.96% ( | 18.02% ( | 12.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.09% ( | 40.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.7% ( | 63.3% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.47% ( | 10.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.77% ( | 34.23% ( |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.63% ( | 44.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.57% ( | 80.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 2-0 @ 11.83% ( 1-0 @ 10.51% ( 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 3-0 @ 8.88% ( 3-1 @ 7.22% ( 4-0 @ 5% ( 4-1 @ 4.06% ( 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 5-0 @ 2.25% ( 5-1 @ 1.83% ( 4-2 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 4.17% Total : 69.95% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 2-2 @ 3.91% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 18.02% | 0-1 @ 3.8% ( 1-2 @ 3.47% ( 0-2 @ 1.54% ( 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 1-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.21% Total : 12.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 51 | 13 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 13 | 30 | 44 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Montrose | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 13 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 10 |
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