Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 21.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.