Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.