Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Rostov win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.