Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 9.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Vizela |
74.2% (![]() | 15.94% (![]() | 9.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.7% (![]() | 37.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.49% (![]() | 59.5% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.41% (![]() | 8.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.33% (![]() | 29.66% (![]() |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.09% (![]() | 45.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.35% (![]() | 81.64% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Vizela |
2-0 @ 11.87% 3-0 @ 9.72% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.68% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.57% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.81% 6-0 @ 1.2% 6-1 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 3.41% Total : 74.2% | 1-1 @ 7.53% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.6% ( ![]() Other @ 0.86% Total : 15.94% | 0-1 @ 3.07% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 1.72% Total : 9.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |