

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 9.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Vizela |
| 74.2% ( | 15.94% ( | 9.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.7% ( | 37.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.49% ( | 59.5% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.41% ( | 8.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.33% ( | 29.66% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.09% ( | 45.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.35% ( | 81.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Vizela |
| 2-0 @ 11.87% 3-0 @ 9.72% ( 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 3-1 @ 7.57% ( 4-0 @ 5.97% ( 4-1 @ 4.65% ( 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 5-0 @ 2.93% ( 5-1 @ 2.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.81% 6-0 @ 1.2% 6-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.41% Total : 74.2% | 1-1 @ 7.53% ( 0-0 @ 3.94% ( 2-2 @ 3.6% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 15.94% | 0-1 @ 3.07% ( 1-2 @ 2.93% ( 0-2 @ 1.2% ( 2-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.72% Total : 9.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
| 3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
| 9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
| 16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
| R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
| R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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