We said: Everton 3-1 Leeds United
Keeping clean sheets away from home is not Leeds' forte, and while Bielsa's men will always pose a threat at the other the end of the pitch, Lampard could very well turn Everton's fortunes around here.
The potential introductions of Van de Beek, Alli and Dominic Calvert-Lewin to the first XI could breathe new life into a Toffees side with a major point to prove in this contest, and we can see Lampard rectifying the mistakes of midweek with all three points here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
