| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Bolton Wanderers | 46 | 17 | 73 | 
| 10 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 73 | 
| 11 | Ipswich Town | 46 | 21 | 70 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Burton Albion | 46 | -16 | 53 | 
| 17 | Lincoln City | 46 | -8 | 52 | 
| 18 | Shrewsbury Town | 46 | -4 | 50 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Lincoln City | 
| 49.85% | 24.98% | 25.16% | 
| Both teams to score 52.05% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.5% | 50.5% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.58% | 72.42% | 
| Portsmouth Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.73% | 20.27% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.38% | 52.62% | 
| Lincoln City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.28% | 34.72% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.55% | 71.45% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Portsmouth | Draw | Lincoln City | 
| 1-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 4.77% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.85%  | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.98%  | 0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.12% Total : 25.16%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 58 | 22 | 36 | 68 | 
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 68 | 
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 60 | 
| 4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 59 | 
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 57 | 
| 6 | Barnsley | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 56 | 
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 | 
| 8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 48 | 
| 9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 47 | 
| 10 | Portsmouth | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 | 
| 11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 | 
| 12 | Port Vale | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 40 | 
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 39 | 
| 14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 39 | 
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 38 | 
| 16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 36 | 
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 36 | 
| 18 | Burton Albion | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 34 | 
| 19 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 33 | 
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 30 | 
| 21 | MK Dons | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 29 | 
| 22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 29 | 
| 23 | Morecambe | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 28 | 
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 22 | 
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