Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
