Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.45%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
