

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 76.39%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 9.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.12%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-2 (2.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 76.39% ( | 13.93% ( | 9.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.69% ( | 27.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.13% ( | 47.87% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.11% ( | 5.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 77.45% ( | 22.54% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.98% ( | 39.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.26% ( | 75.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 3-0 @ 8.7% ( 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 3-1 @ 8.19% ( 1-0 @ 6.5% ( 4-0 @ 6.16% ( 4-1 @ 5.8% ( 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 5-0 @ 3.49% ( 5-1 @ 3.29% ( 4-2 @ 2.73% ( 6-0 @ 1.65% ( 6-1 @ 1.55% ( 5-2 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 5.06% Total : 76.39% | 1-1 @ 6.12% ( 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0-0 @ 2.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 13.93% | 1-2 @ 2.88% ( 0-1 @ 2.16% ( 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0-2 @ 1.02% ( 1-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.43% Total : 9.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
| 3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
| 4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
| 8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
| 9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
