Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 54.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 2-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Hamilton Academical | 
| 22.54% (  0.63) | 22.63% (  0.17) | 54.83% (  -0.8) | 
| Both teams to score 56.65% (  0.28) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.03% (  -0.04) | 42.96% (  0.04) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.63% (  -0.04) | 65.36% (  0.04) | 
| Alloa Athletic Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.11% (  0.55) | 32.89% (  -0.55) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.53% (  0.61) | 69.46% (  -0.61) | 
| Hamilton Academical Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.42% (  -0.28) | 15.58% (  0.28) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.46% (  -0.53) | 44.54% (  0.53) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Hamilton Academical | 
| 2-1 @ 5.89% (  0.13) 1-0 @ 5.7% (  0.09) 2-0 @ 3.17% (  0.1) 3-1 @ 2.18% (  0.08) 3-2 @ 2.03% (  0.05) 3-0 @ 1.17% (  0.05) Other @ 2.39% Total : 22.54% | 1-1 @ 10.59% (  0.07) 2-2 @ 5.48% (  0.07) 0-0 @ 5.12% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% (  0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 9.85% (  -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.53% (  -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.86% (  -0.16) 1-3 @ 6.1% (  -0.08) 0-3 @ 5.49% (  -0.15) 2-3 @ 3.39% (  0.01) 1-4 @ 2.84% (  -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.55% (  -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.58% (  -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.06% (  -0.04) 0-5 @ 0.95% (  -0.05) Other @ 2.65% Total : 54.83% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 | 
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 | 
| 3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 | 
| 4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 | 
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 | 
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 | 
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 | 
| 8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 | 
| 9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 | 
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 | 
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
