

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Vizela | 
| 54.96% (  0.26) | 23.15% (  0.01) | 21.89% (  -0.27) | 
| Both teams to score 54.03% (  -0.41) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.97% (  -0.37) | 46.03% (  0.37) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.67% (  -0.35) | 68.33% (  0.35) | 
| Moreirense Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.38% (  -0.04) | 16.62% (  0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.55% (  -0.07) | 46.45% (  0.08) | 
| Vizela Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.8% (  -0.46) | 35.2% (  0.46) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.05% (  -0.48) | 71.96% (  0.48) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Moreirense | Draw | Vizela | 
| 1-0 @ 10.49% (  0.14) 2-1 @ 9.84% (  0) 2-0 @ 9.42% (  0.12) 3-1 @ 5.88% (  -0) 3-0 @ 5.64% (  0.06) 3-2 @ 3.07% (  -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.64% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.53% (  0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% (  -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.95% (  -0) 5-0 @ 0.91% (  0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 54.95% | 1-1 @ 10.96% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 5.85% (  0.09) 2-2 @ 5.14% (  -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.07% (  -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 6.11% (  0.02) 1-2 @ 5.72% (  -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.19% (  -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.99% (  -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.79% (  -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.11% (  -0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 21.89% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 | 
| 3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 | 
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 | 
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 | 
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 | 
| 9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 | 
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 | 
| 11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 | 
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 | 
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 | 
| 14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 | 
| 16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 | 
| R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 | 
| R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
