

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Vizela | 
| 48.28% (  -0.18) | 25.72% (  0.11) | 25.99% (  0.07) | 
| Both teams to score 50.55% (  -0.28) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 47.17% (  -0.39) | 52.83% (  0.39) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.55% (  -0.34) | 74.45% (  0.33) | 
| Boavista Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.1% (  -0.24) | 21.89% (  0.24) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.85% (  -0.37) | 55.15% (  0.37) | 
| Vizela Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.72% (  -0.16) | 35.28% (  0.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.96% (  -0.16) | 72.04% (  0.16) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Boavista | Draw | Vizela | 
| 1-0 @ 11.73% (  0.1) 2-1 @ 9.28% (  -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.91% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 4.7% (  -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.51% (  -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.45% (  -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.79% (  -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.71% (  -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.28% | 1-1 @ 12.22% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 7.72% (  0.12) 2-2 @ 4.84% (  -0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.05% (  0.09) 1-2 @ 6.37% (  -0) 0-2 @ 4.19% (  0.03) 1-3 @ 2.21% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.68% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.46% (  0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.99% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 | 
| 3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 | 
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 | 
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 | 
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 | 
| 9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 | 
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 | 
| 11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 | 
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 | 
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 | 
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 | 
| R | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 | 
| 17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 | 
| R | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
