
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Woking win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for York City had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Woking win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Woking | Draw | York City | 
| 57.3% (  0.96) | 22.78% (  -0.22) | 19.92% (  -0.73) | 
| Both teams to score 52.27% (  -0.44) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.08% (  -0.02) | 46.92% (  0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.83% (  -0.02) | 69.17% (  0.02) | 
| Woking Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.88% (  0.32) | 16.13% (  -0.32) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.45% (  0.59) | 45.55% (  -0.58) | 
| York City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.33% (  -0.77) | 37.68% (  0.77) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.55% (  -0.76) | 74.46% (  0.76) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Woking | Draw | York City | 
| 1-0 @ 11.08% (  0.13) 2-0 @ 10.11% (  0.22) 2-1 @ 9.87% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 6.15% (  0.2) 3-1 @ 6.01% (  0.08) 3-2 @ 2.93% (  -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.81% (  0.12) 4-1 @ 2.74% (  0.06) 4-2 @ 1.34% (  0) 5-0 @ 1.02% (  0.06) 5-1 @ 1% (  0.03) Other @ 2.23% Total : 57.29% | 1-1 @ 10.82% (  -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.08% (  0) 2-2 @ 4.82% (  -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.95% (  -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.78% | 0-1 @ 5.93% (  -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.28% (  -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.9% (  -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.72% (  -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.57% (  -0.06) 0-3 @ 0.94% (  -0.06) Other @ 1.58% Total : 19.92% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 | 
| 2 | Barnet | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 35 | 
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 30 | 
| 4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 | 
| 5 | Bromley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 26 | 
| 6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 | 
| 7 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 | 
| 8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 21 | 
| 9 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 | 
| 10 | Rochdale | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 20 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | 
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 
| 13 | Woking | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 | 
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 | 
| 15 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 16 | 
| 16 | Ebbsfleet | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 | 
| 17 | York City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 15 | 
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 | 
| 19 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 
| 20 | Oxford CityOxford City | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 14 | 
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 13 | 
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 13 | 
| 24 | Fylde | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 9 | 
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