MX23RW : Saturday, February 10 05:02:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Feb 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Aberystwyth
0 - 1
Colwyn Bay

Walsh (86'), Keyamo (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hill (71')
Akpan (15'), Hart (57')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Colwyn Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-0 Haverfordwest
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 1-2 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.91%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colwyn Bay would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawColwyn Bay
37.14% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 23.69% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 39.16% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Both teams to score 62.64% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)39.34% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)61.67% (0.058 0.06)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.34% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)54.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)20.36% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.23% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)52.77% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 37.15%
    Colwyn Bay 39.16%
    Draw 23.69%
Aberystwyth TownDrawColwyn Bay
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 37.15%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 6.91% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 39.16%

Head to Head
Jan 5, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 19
Aberystwyth
1-0
Colwyn Bay
Walsh (46')
Thorn (45+4')
Cadwallader (41')

Creamer (22')
Sep 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Colwyn Bay
3-1
Aberystwyth
Creamer (13'), Jones (27'), Akpan (49')
Akpan (71'), Rushton (83')
Lewis (45+1')
Thorn (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints220081146768
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay101060303048
3Bala TownBala Town20112622438
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU10102940-1135
5Newtown AFCNewtown10013534133
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon10104142-132
Relegation Round
1Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest20113035-529
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont11003033-328
3Barry Town UnitedBarry10012744-1723
4Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth21011947-2818
5Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd21101732-1517
6Colwyn Bay21012951-2217
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!