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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Cardiff MU
4 - 2
Aberystwyth
Evans (40', 56'), Craven (79'), H (83')
Evans (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cadwallader (62'), Darlington (74')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Aberystwyth Town.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-1 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-3 New Saints
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 68.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 13.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawAberystwyth Town
68.75% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11) 18.16% (0.112 0.11) 13.09%
Both teams to score 52.7% (-0.402 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.21% (-0.52699999999999 -0.53)38.79% (0.529 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.9% (-0.557 -0.56)61.1% (0.56 0.56)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.74% (-0.167 -0.17)10.26% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.39% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)33.61% (0.391 0.39)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.72% (-0.337 -0.34)41.28% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.19% (-0.3 -0.3)77.81% (0.304 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 68.74%
    Aberystwyth Town 13.09%
    Draw 18.16%
Cardiff MUDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 10.97% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.64% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 8.33% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.37% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.2% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.16% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.91% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 68.74%
1-1 @ 8.53% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.16%
1-2 @ 3.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 3.75% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.66% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 13.09%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Aberystwyth
0-1
Cardiff MU

Owen (56')
Evans (34')
Evans (70'), Evans (73'), Rees (83')
Evans (75')
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Cardiff MU
2-1
Aberystwyth
Rees (9', 28')
Darlington (81')
Aug 20, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
0-4
Cardiff MU
Jones (8', 29', 34'), Evans (70')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff MU
1-1
Aberystwyth
McCarthy (48')
Price (8'), Evans (31'), Roscrow (79')
Jenkins (8')
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
0-2
Cardiff MU

Davies (32'), Franklin (81')
Lewis (72'), Evans (76')
McCarthy (82'), Chubb (86')
rhs 2.0
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Lehecka
6 4 3
4 6 6
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-428
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813

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