Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Jan 28, 2021 at 12am UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol
1 - 2
Defensor
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Defensor Sporting.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.05%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 25.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 48.05% | 26.76% | 25.19% |
| Both teams to score 46.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.76% | 57.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.92% | 78.08% |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% | 23.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.94% | 58.06% |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.61% | 38.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.85% | 75.15% |
| Score Analysis |
Penarol 48.05%
Defensor Sporting 25.19%
Draw 26.75%
| Penarol | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 13.12% 2-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 9% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 4.3% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-1 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.53% Total : 48.05% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 4.2% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.57% Total : 25.19% |
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2020 9pm
Feb 23, 2020 10.30pm
Aug 11, 2019 10pm
Feb 17, 2019 10.30pm
Defensor
0-1
Penarol
Correa (38'), Gomez (49'), Carrera (65')
Rodriguez (92')
Viatri (58'), Pereira (94')
Viatri (58'), Pereira (94')
Form Guide
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