Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
