Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
