Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
