Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
38.74% (![]() | 25.01% (![]() | 36.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.69% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.28% (![]() | 45.72% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.96% (![]() | 68.04% (![]() |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.62% (![]() | 23.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.65% (![]() | 57.35% (![]() |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.3% (![]() | 24.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.76% (![]() | 59.24% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
2-1 @ 8.53% 1-0 @ 8.39% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.07% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.74% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 5.96% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.21% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.07% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.97% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.87% Total : 36.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |