

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Halifax Town had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Halifax Town win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Halifax Town | 
| 51.39% (  0.39) | 24.49% (  0.19) | 24.12% (  -0.59) | 
| Both teams to score 52.51% (  -1.24) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.63% (  -1.34) | 49.36% (  1.33) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.59% (  -1.22) | 71.41% (  1.21) | 
| Chesterfield Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.8% (  -0.36) | 19.2% (  0.36) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.11% (  -0.6) | 50.88% (  0.59) | 
| Halifax Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.99% (  -1.24) | 35% (  1.24) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.25% (  -1.33) | 71.75% (  1.32) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Chesterfield | Draw | Halifax Town | 
| 1-0 @ 11.09% (  0.48) 2-1 @ 9.61% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.15% (  0.29) 3-1 @ 5.28% (  -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.03% (  0.1) 3-2 @ 2.77% (  -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.18% (  -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.08% (  0.02) 4-2 @ 1.14% (  -0.07) Other @ 3.05% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 11.64% (  0.12) 0-0 @ 6.72% (  0.36) 2-2 @ 5.04% (  -0.18) 3-3 @ 0.97% (  -0.08) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.06% (  0.15) 1-2 @ 6.11% (  -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.7% (  -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.14% (  -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.76% (  -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.3% (  -0.06) Other @ 2.05% Total : 24.12% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 | 
| 2 | Barnet | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 35 | 
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 30 | 
| 4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 | 
| 5 | Bromley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 26 | 
| 6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 | 
| 7 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 | 
| 8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 21 | 
| 9 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 | 
| 10 | Rochdale | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 20 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | 
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 
| 13 | Woking | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 | 
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 | 
| 15 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 16 | 
| 16 | Ebbsfleet | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 | 
| 17 | York City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 15 | 
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 | 
| 19 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 
| 20 | Oxford CityOxford City | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 14 | 
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 13 | 
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 13 | 
| 24 | Fylde | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 9 | 
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