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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 18, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Newcastle logo

Arsenal
vs.
Newcastle

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Newcastle United could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Arsenal.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League showdown with Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Arsenal
Sunday, May 11 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Chelsea
Sunday, May 11 at 12pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for Newcastle United has a probability of 25.47% and a draw has a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.21%).

Result
ArsenalDrawNewcastle United
52.08% (-0.188 -0.19) 22.45% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 25.47% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 60.81% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.93% (0.065999999999995 0.07)39.07% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.61% (0.067999999999998 0.07)61.39% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.87% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)15.13% (0.042 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.29% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)43.71% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (0.16499999999999 0.16)28.35% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (0.206 0.21)64.08% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 52.08%
    Newcastle United 25.47%
    Draw 22.45%
ArsenalDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 52.08%
1-1 @ 10.21%
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.45%
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.41% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 25.47%

Who will win Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Newcastle?

Arsenal
Draw
Newcastle United
Arsenal
61.3%
Draw
16.1%
Newcastle United
22.6%
31
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2025 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Newcastle
2-0
Arsenal
Murphy (20'), Gordon (52')
Guimaraes (47'), Schar (90+3')

Havertz (42'), Saliba (44'), Sterling (83')
Jan 7, 2025 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Arsenal
0-2
Newcastle

Zinchenko (81')
Isak (38'), Gordon (51')
Joelinton (42'), Gordon (55'), Livramento (90+5')
Nov 2, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Newcastle
1-0
Arsenal
Isak (12')
Schar (39'), Willock (62'), Tonali (71'), Pope (90+4')

Merino (56'), Maduro (66'), Jorginho (88'), Havertz (90+7')
Feb 24, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 26
Arsenal
4-1
Newcastle
Botman (18' og.), Havertz (24'), Saka (65'), Kiwior (69')
Odegaard (7')
Willock (84')
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Newcastle
1-0
Arsenal
Gordon (64')
Gordon (37'), Longstaff (38'), Schar (38'), Guimaraes (88'), Livramento (90+1')

Havertz (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool36258383374683
2Arsenal361814466333368
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle362061068452366
4Manchester CityMan City36198967432465
5Chelsea36189962431963
6Aston Villa3618995649763
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest361881056441262
8Brentford361671363531055
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton36141395956355
10Bournemouth3614111155431253
11Fulham36149135150151
12Crystal Palace361213114648-249
13Everton36915123944-542
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36125195164-1341
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham361010164259-1740
16Manchester UnitedMan Utd36109174253-1139
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs36115206359438
RIpswich TownIpswich36410223577-4222
RLeicester CityLeicester3657243178-4722
RSouthampton3626282582-5712


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