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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jun 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Toyota Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
0 - 1
Urawa


Uchida (37'), Nogami (55'), Kubo (81'), Patric (90+2'), Chang-Rae (90+6')
Uchida (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Urawa Red Diamonds, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 22 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-2 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, June 22 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Urawa Red Diamonds

With two sides who have experienced similar campaigns thus far, including recent ruts, we anticipate a tight contest on Wednesday which could be settled by a single goal. While the visitors fought hard to earn a point against Kashima Antlers last time out, they may fall just short away at a Nagoya Grampus side full of quality with their own need to end a winless streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Urawa Red Diamonds in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
27.47% (0.155 0.16) 26.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 45.8% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 48.74% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.26% (0.062999999999995 0.06)55.74% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.12% (0.052999999999997 0.05)76.88% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.37% (0.15899999999999 0.16)35.63% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.6% (0.162 0.16)72.4% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)24.29% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)58.66% (0.07 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 27.48%
    Urawa Red Diamonds 45.79%
    Draw 26.72%
Nagoya GrampusDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.52% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.61% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.24% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.59% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 27.48%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 8.65% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 12.24% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.67% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 45.79%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa

Nagoya Grampus
42.1%
Draw
26.3%
Urawa Red Diamonds
31.6%
19
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 7am
Gameweek 10
Urawa
2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Yasui (24'), Thiago (70' pen.)
Thiago (16'), Ito (31')
Izumi (90+2')
Yonemoto (41')
Aug 18, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 24
Urawa
1-0
Nagoya Grampus
Kante (11')
Koizumi (21'), Hoibraten (45'), Okubo (60'), Linssen (89')

Kawazura (16'), Maruyama (76')
Apr 9, 2023 7am
Aug 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 24
Nagoya Grampus
3-0
Urawa
Shigehiro (27'), Mateus (45+5'), Nagai (64')
Nakatani (59'), Nagai (74')
Jun 18, 2022 11am
Gameweek 17
Urawa
3-0
Nagoya Grampus
Scholz (21'), Ito (23'), Sekine (36')
Iwanami (30')

Mateus (42'), Nakatani (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers17121427121537
2Kashiwa ReysolReysol179622013733
3Kyoto Sanga189452721631
4Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa198652419530
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima169251612429
6Vissel KobeVissel Kobe168351815327
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki1667326161025
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo187472624225
9Machida Zelvia177372018224
10Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka177282124-323
11Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse176472120122
12Fagiano OkayamaOkayama176471314-122
13Avispa Fukuoka186481519-422
14Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare176381220-821
15Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus185582126-520
16Tokyo Verdy175571218-620
17FC Tokyo165471720-319
18Yokohama FCYokohama FC175391117-618
19Albirex Niigata162771723-613
20Yokohama F MarinosYokohama1615101225-138


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