Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
