Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.69%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
