Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 1-3 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 2-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
