Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.35%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
